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Public Sector Development Plans (PSDP)

Azad Jammu  & Kashmir is spread over an area of 5134 sq. miles (13,297 sq. kilometers). The topography is mainly hilly and mountainous with valleys and stretches of plains. The climate is sub-tropical highland type with an average yearly rainfall of 150 cm. The elevation ranges from 360 meters in the south to 6139 meters in the north.

Based on the population census of 1998 and taking into account the annual increase the current population is 3.513 million with roughly 88% living in rural areas. Population density is 258 per sq. km. against 187 in Pakistan. Northern AJK being mostly mountainous is economically under developed. Some areas have inadequate infrastructure and population is mostly dependent upon the rural economy & remittances from abroad. Land holdings are small with 0.246 hectare per capita and the cultivated area is only 13% of the total geographical area. About 42% of the area is under the administrative control of the Forest Department of which approximately 11% is commercially exploitable.

At the time of liberation of the present area the AJK was most undeveloped part of the State of Jammu & Kashmir and it remained as such till mid fifties when economic and social development process was launched through development plans. Despite financial constraints efforts have been made to provide sound base for rapid socio economic development of the area.

The earthquake of 8th October, 2005 measuring 7.6 at Richter-scale caused widespread destruction in Azad Jammu & Kashmir killing at least 44445 persons, severely injuring 31492 and rendering 1.5 million people without shelter. Azad Jammu & Kashmir suffered extensive damage to economic assets and physical infrastructure with social service delivery, commerce and communication destroyed/damaged in almost 4 districts. Vulnerable groups, mainly women and children living in inaccessible mountainous areas with low level of income and service provision have borne the major brunt of the earthquake’s devastation. In addition to the enormous loss of human life the damages to the public and private infrastructure are estimated at approximately Rs. 65 billion and Rs. 50 billion respectively. However, with the help of Government of Pakistan, Pak Army, National and International Community the AJK Government managed to cope with relief and rescue operations and have now entered into reconstruction/rehabilitation phase. The efforts for reconstruction /rehabilitation of damaged infrastructure are underway and hopefully we would be able to put the life of the affected people back on track with the financial assistance from Government of Pakistan and international donors within next 3-4 years. An Earthquake Reconstruction & Rehabilitation Authority has been established at Federal level to plan, coordinate, oversee and monitor the over-all reconstruction programme with its offices at state (SERRA) and District (DRU) level through the line agencies of AJ&K. About Rs. 11.000 billion has been disbursed as compensation for the loss of lives, injured persons and 1st. instalment for reconstruction of shelters. Second instalment of compensation for construction of private houses is being disbursed after physical survey by Assistance and Inspection Teams and Rs. 7.000  billion has already been paid to the affectees. An amount of 50.000 billion has been provided in Federal PSDP for the reconstruction activities in AJK & NWFP during the year 2006-07. Strategies for different sectors have been approved and work on ground will commence over the next three months.


 

  1. DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

  • The development strategy of AJK has been designed to focus on:

    • Improvement and upgradation of socio-economic infrastructure.
    • Natural resource management through participatory approach involving the beneficiaries/communities for the purpose of income generation and poverty alleviation.


  • Until recently centralized Planning & Development has been the mainstay of Public Sector Development Plans but it has been observed that the rate at which benefits of development initiatives trickled down to grass root level was dismal, thus realizing the weakness of development strategy, the Government of AJK has reoriented its policy by shifting its emphasis towards participatory approach by involving the communities in assessment of their needs, planning, implementation and O&M of the development schemes.


  • Since at the time of liberation physical and social infrastructure was almost non-existent, the efforts over the decades, were focused on building the requisite infrastructure and priority was assigned to Transport & Communication and Education sectors and major portions of development funds and revenue budget were allocated to these sectors. As a result the AJK would be achieving the objective of Universal Primary Education in both male/female in the near future. The present literacy rate is over 65%.


  • Since at the time of liberation physical and social infrastructure was almost non-existent, the efforts over the decades, were focused on building the requisite infrastructure and priority was assigned to Transport & Communication and Education sectors and major portions of development funds and revenue budget were allocated to these sectors. As a result the AJK would be achieving the objective of Universal Primary Education in both male/female in the near future. The present literacy rate is over 65%.


  • In the urban areas approximately 80% population has been provided piped water supply whereas an estimated 73% rural population gets water supply facilities through stand posts. The rural water supply is managed by the Local Government & Rural Development Department through community participation where entire operation & maintenance cost is born by the users.


  • Azad Jammu & Kashmir has made commendable quantitative improvement in its road communication network with 10876 km. road length of which 4760 km. are metalled while the rest are fair weather roads. The density of road works out to be 0.31 km. per square km. It is to be mentioned that mass transportation of the passengers and goods in Azad Kashmir is entirely through roads which require huge investment for construction and maintenance. Besides an effective telecommunication network has been set up by the Special Communication Organization in AJK, which caters for the needs of the people of AJK.


  • Rural electrification has also been one of the major areas of thrust and almost 72% population of the area has fully or partially been provided electricity while 100 % population of AJK would be provided electricity by the year 2007. Per capita power availability in AJK is 335 KW/H. On the other hand, AJK has a potential of over 5000 MW of Hydel power and efforts are underway to generate Hydel power not only for AJK but to produce more power for supply to Pakistan.


  • A package of incentives developed few years back has created a conducive climate for industrial investment for intending investors. Few small industrial estates were also established. About 968 industrial units (small/medium) have been established in the area. Many important minerals are also found in AJK and the state corporation AKMIDC is undertaking studies to ascertain the potential for exploitation on commercial basis.


  • In Agriculture, emphasis has been on diversification of cropping patterns from annual to perennial and conventional to cash crops. Increasing population has exerted immense pressure on forest resources and efforts are directed to reforest denuded areas and rehabilitate severely eroded ones. The commercially exploitable timber could not be exploited fully due to lack of financial resources and inaccessibility to the rich forest areas.

 

  2. PLANS ALLOCATION & UTILIZATION:

  • Despite an encouraging scenario as outlined in the preceding paragraphs the level of social and physical development in AJ&K has remained far short of actual requirements of the people and its economic potentials. AJ&K has been entirely dependent upon Government of Pakistan for the financing of its development outlays. Development funds made available over the years to AJ&K by the Government of Pakistan are as under:-

S.No Plan Period Amount Outlays ADP Allocation Utilization %age utilization
1 First Plan 10.000 10.000 10.000 100
2 Second Plan 39.420 39.420 39.420 100
3 Third Plan 88.050 88.050 88.050 100
4 Non-Plan 611.324 604.100 576.000 95
5 Fifth Plan 1444.000 1216.787 1215.500 99
6 Sixth Plan 4112.000 3174.815 3102.300 98
7 Seventh Plan 5219.000 4916.000 4709.900 96
8 Eighth Plan 9728.000 8277.300 7768.900 94
9 1998.2001* - 6683.800 6451.200 97
10 10 Years perspective plan (2001-11) 75968.000 14199.641 (2001-2005) - -
11 Medium Term Development Framework (MTDF 2005-10) ** 39800.000 5100.000
(2005-2006)
5100.000
(2005-2006)
 

      * 9th Five Year Plan could not be approved by the Government of Pakistan and funds were allocated on year-to-year basis.

      ** The Government of Pakistan decided to abandon the Ten Year Perspective Plan and approved a new 5 years Medium Term Development Framework (MTDF 2005-10).


 
  • Utilization of development funds by the Government of AJK against the allocations have always been ranging from 94 to 100%. It is evident that there has been no problem of absorption capacity of the state machinery. However, the difference between plan allocations and actual releases vis-à-vis development needs have resulted in accumulative backlog of requirements.


  • Azad Jammu & Kashmir is beset with very peculiar conditions, which are not found in any areas/region with comparable terrain and topography. For example, population density in some of the districts of AJ&K, is alarmingly high. Rapid depletion of forests and other natural resource base is threatening the equilibrium of whole bio-mass and the environment. Increasing interference by human and livestock population beyond carrying capacity of the land, is endangering many down stream structures and natural resources. We have very limited options to redress the damage being caused by these circumstances and our efforts in the past have been focused on building physical as well as social infrastructure and arresting, if not reversing damage caused to the environment and landscape.


  • Being in the backyard of the country with very small industrial base, AJK has been investing more in developing human capital by expansion of education and health facilities and in this endeavor, at times, has heeded less for quality of delivery of these services. However, the prime objective of development in future under social sectors would be to concentrate on quality.


 
 

  3. SALIENT FEATURES OF PSDP 2005-2006 (REVISED) AND 2006-2007 (ESTIMATES)

  • The financing of AJ&K Public Sector Development Programme is totally dependent on the development grant/loans provided by the Government of Pakistan. The size of the revised PSDP for the current year i.e. 2005-2006 was Rs. 5100.000 million including foreign assistance of Rs. 1190.840 million. An amount of Rs. 6.000 billion have been allocated for the Public Sector Development Programme of AJK for the year 2006-2007 including local component of Rs. 5423.000 million and foreign assistance component of Rs. 676.000 million. The overall increase in current year’s allocation comes to 17.6%.
  • While making sectoral/schemewise allocations following strategy has been adopted to ensure timely completion of ongoing projects as well as to fulfill the commitments with donors against foreign funded projects:-
  • Foreign Aided projects have been given due share while making Inter/Intra sectoral allocation, in order to fulfill the commitments with the donors.
  • Priority has been assigned to on-going projects by allocating 95% of funds (Rs: 5728.561 million).
  • Schemes at advanced stages of implementation with expenditure of 80% and above have been given the balance provision for their completion during 2006-07.
  • The on-going schemes with expenditure of 50% and above have been given allocation as per phasing/requirements.

  • Other on-going schemes have been adequately funded keeping in view the available resources.

  • After making allocation for on-going projects in the light of above, Rs. 271.439 million have been allocated for some very important new schemes.
  • Inter-District equity has been kept in view as far as possible while making allocations to the development schemes.

  • All the reconstruction activities in the earthquake affected areas are to be financed from ERRA funds, hence all ongoing projects of building reconstruction component have not been given any allocation in ADP 2006-07.

  • Only token provision has been made in the ADP 2006-07 for ongoing projects of roads and bridges which are included in ERRA programme.


  • The Azad Jammu & Kashmir with a literacy rate of more than 65% and having limited opportunities in the Agriculture sector alongwith small industrial base is exploring other opportunities to utilize its vast human resource for economic development of the region. Encouraged and guided by the IT policy of the Government of Pakistan, the AJK Government has decided to use Information Technology and train its manpower to achieve the goal of economic development. For this the AJK Government has prepared a master plan focusing on three key areas:-


    • Mass IT Literacy and Awareness;
    • Infrastructure development for Software Development and
    • E-Governance through Computerization.

  • In view of the resource position, we have been restricted to concentrate on ongoing projects/programme with a view to avoid thinning of resources and exceedingly expensive time and cost over runs. The Sectoral allocations have been made on need basis vis-à-vis the utilization performance during the year 2005-06 and Social Sectors requirements, which will hopefully enable the sectors to continue their development activities. Similarly, an effort has been made to protect foreign assisted projects/programme against any serious resource erosion.


  • The Revised Estimates 2005-2006 and Budget Estimates 2006-2007 in terms of local and foreign components are presented in Table-1. It can be seen that Transport & Communication sector by virtue of roads being the only mode of transportation of passengers and goods is major beneficiary of development allocations. The LG&RD Sector is the next highest recipient of PSDP allocation followed by Foreign Aided Projects, Power, Education, PPH, Health, Agriculture, Information Technology and Industries sectors.


  • To ensure efficient utilization of the allocated funds; 1) efforts will be made to approve all new projects with in the 1st four months of the new financial year. 2) Releases of funds will be made promptly on the basis of approved allocation 3) ADP quarterly review meetings will be held to monitor the utilization progress and 4) The intra-sectoral re-appropriation will be made towards sectors showing better performance in terms of utilization.


  • Under the Federal PSDP a sum of Rs. 9921 million has been allocated for 60 projects in AJK during the year 2006-07. In addition AJK has also been given due share in most of the umbrellah projects, spread over all provinces and special areas.

 
 

Comparison of Revised PSDP Allocations for the Year 2005-06 and Budget Estimates for 2006-2007



Sr No. Name of Sector Revised Estimates 2005-2006 Budget Estimates 2006-2007 %age

Local

F-Aid

Total

Local

F-Aid

Total

1 Transport and Communication 1681.319 0.000 1681.319 1902.000 0.000 1902.000 31.7
2 Local Govt and Rural Development 534.000 512.000 1046.000 650.000 200.000 850.000 14.2
3 Foreign Funded Projects 26.752.000 666.840 693.592 300.000 462.000 762.000 12.7
4 Power 556.000 0.000 556.000 675.000 0.000 675.000 11.3
5 Physical Planning and Housing 384.651 0.000 384.651 553.000 0.000 553.000 9.2
6 Education 385.628 0.000 385.628 550.000 0.000 550.000 9.2
7 Health 120.830 12.000 132.830 244.000 14.000 258.000 4.3
8 Agriculture 187.508 0.000 187.508 245.000 0.000 245.000 4.1
9 Information Technology 60.203 0.000 60.203 100.000 0.000 100.000 1.6
10 Industries & Minerals 47.609 0.000 47.609 62.000 0.000 62.000 1.0
11 Tourism 7.500 0.000 7.500 15.000 0.000 15.000 0.2
12 Social Welfare 10.000 0.000 10.000 15.000 0.000 15.000 0.2
13 Water 2.700 0.000 2.700 7.000 0.000 7.000 0..1
14 Research and Development 3.600 0.000 3.600 5.000 0.000 5.000 0.1
15 Environment 0.860 0.000 0.860 1.000 0.000 1.000 0.1
16 Special Grant for Muzaffarabad-Srinagar Bus-Service 14.341 0.000 14.341 0.000 0.000 0.000 -
  Total PSDP 4023.501 1190.840 5214.341 5324.000 676.000 6000.000 100

 

  4. Funds are provided for 704 On-going and 129 new projects of the PSDP 2006-2007. In the PSDP of 2005-2006 under the portfolio of on-going projects 110 have been completed while 183 projects are expected to be completed by June, 2007.


 
    5. An overall throw forward of PSDP projects of the AJK is estimated at Rs. 15616.312 million.  Sectoral break-up is given as under:-

Sector-Wise Throw-forward of Current PSDP 2006-07

S.No. Name of Sector Total approved Cost Expenditure ending 6/2006 PSDP 2006-2007 Throwforward beyond 2006-2007 (Rs.  Million)
1 Transport & Communication

11701.939 6390.305 1831.629 3480.005
2 Local Govt. & Rural Dev. 3384.482 2058.375 850.000 476.107
3 Foreign Funded Projects 6761.538 895.010 762.000 5104.528
4 Power 8377.178 5898.194 669.731 1809.253
5 Physical Planning & Housing 3302.671 1403.396 480.231 1419.044
6 Education 4595.174 2070.516 510.785 2013.873
7 Health 2058.512 1118.783 238.845 700.884
8 Agriculture 1049.330 539.350 209.023 300.957
9 Information Technology 289.236 148.872 76.559 63.805
10 Industries & Minerals 459.586 303.761 60.502 95.323
11 Tourism 162.982 32.243 14.980 115.759
12 Social Welfare 59.291 26.169 14.50 18.622
13 Water 43.824 29.113 6.000 8.711
14 Research & Development 22.176 13.481 3.676 5.019
15 Environment 4.500 2.779 0.100 1.621
  Total:- 42359.851 21014.978 5728.561 15616.312

 

 
     
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